Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.437730 0.506462 0.581648 0.669891 0.770508 0.881546 1.013258
2025-07-13 0.328149 0.422877 0.537061 0.684305 0.868577 1.090954 1.378997
2025-07-20 0.275915 0.384650 0.525268 0.719257 0.978577 1.311739 1.770433
2025-07-27 0.236752 0.352279 0.510589 0.741373 1.066804 1.506465 2.141970
2025-08-03 0.203516 0.320784 0.489885 0.748567 1.130633 1.669652 2.481904
2025-08-10 0.175140 0.290977 0.465940 0.745507 1.175955 1.807160 2.794155
2025-08-17 0.150953 0.263424 0.440784 0.735823 1.207790 1.924754 3.084183
2025-08-24 0.131533 0.240375 0.419071 0.727681 1.239127 2.041732 3.380280
2025-08-31 0.112558 0.215138 0.390260 0.703817 1.241386 2.111565 3.605944
2025-09-07 0.106750 0.212101 0.398101 0.741599 1.347780 2.355207 4.128696
2025-09-14 0.092932 0.192389 0.374324 0.721427 1.352793 2.431285 4.379391
2025-09-21 0.081146 0.174822 0.352167 0.701284 1.355012 2.501369 4.623424
2025-09-28 0.071037 0.159363 0.332488 0.684221 1.362299 2.582898 4.898168
2025-10-05 0.065709 0.153001 0.329631 0.698971 1.430076 2.777705 5.390824
2025-10-12 0.063071 0.151959 0.337130 0.734625 1.540582 3.058387 6.060510
2025-10-19 0.059373 0.148034 0.338184 0.757182 1.627224 3.300857 6.676701
2025-10-26 0.054709 0.141219 0.332285 0.764519 1.683743 3.489862 7.204760
2025-11-02 0.049725 0.132899 0.322075 0.761398 1.718120 3.637774 7.663031
2025-11-09 0.044803 0.123989 0.309451 0.751521 1.737116 3.756108 8.070805
2025-11-16 0.040535 0.116073 0.298127 0.743217 1.758414 3.880116 8.498067
2025-11-23 0.035754 0.106080 0.280679 0.718877 1.742078 3.924921 8.765824
2025-11-30 0.035067 0.106961 0.289613 0.757413 1.869689 4.280400 9.704128
2025-12-07 0.031241 0.098595 0.274633 0.736839 1.860393 4.342943 10.026878